Feltman - Davutoglu - Hamad maneuvers ... and Assad victory.

Article by Nader Izzeddine - Al Manar

Shuttle trips had been done by Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs "Jeffery Feltman" in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), in a new attempt to contain the failure of the Syrian-American opposition, and preparing for the new stage.. After announcing his arrival to Cairo few days ago, we learned that Feltman suddenly appeared in Ankara few hours later!, so why Jeffery jumped from Egypt to Turkey secretly under a large-scale media blackout on this visit?

We start from Cairo, as Lebanese "Assafir" newspaper published news about holding the first meeting between a prominent Islamic organization in Egypt and Israeli authorities at Raffah crossing (edition No.12081 published on 11/01/2012), and during our follow-up on this news, we learned that this meeting was sponsored personally by Feltman, and according to our sources, this mentioned organization will play a prominent role in maintaining "Camp David" convention when the legislative elections in Egypt end..
On the other side, Feltman meeting with this organization came as preparation for a meeting that will gather them with assistant secretary of state "William Burns" (the meeting was held on 11/01/2011).

The second objective of Feltman's visit according to our sources, is asking Cairo, in particularly asking the Arab League secretary general "Nabil Al Arabi" to withdraw the Arab observers from Syria and refer the Syrian file to the United Nations last Sunday, which he was not successful in achieving, since we exposed the Arab-US conspiracy three days before the Arab mission presented their report, which called to postpone this step, and not cancelling it.

The third objective of Feltman visit to Egypt, is resuming a US maneuver that started during the last few weeks, "Blinding" maneuver, as our sources described it, basically to reduce the pressure on Turkey and Qatar , and apparently move the Syrian file to Egypt..

The US started its maneuver when Turkey witnessed consecutive regional and international setbacks, which required removing it from the confrontation with the Syrian president Bashar Al Assad, before he turn Turkey into a "Paper-made Tiger", as when Erdogan's policy turned Turkey into a crane to overthrow Bashar Al Assad regime, it is not possible normalize the relations with Damascus without the departure of Assad, moreover, it is no longer possible the restoration of the growing strength of Turkey, which is the source of her pride, without the fall of Syria.. And any scenario that witness the remaining of Assad in power, will turn Turkey in the regional policy into a "Paper-made Tiger" , and will turn the Turkish allegations as a founder player in the regional system, into a joke.. this is as stated by the specialist researcher in political science and international relations, and the one closed to "justice and development" party "Ihsan Dagi"..

As for Qatar, it was withdrawn from the direct confrontation lines with Syria, keeping the media confrontation, to play a temporary part in pressing on the Arab League and destroy any credibility left for the League, what clearly indicate that, are the attacks launched by Qatar foreign minister "Hamad Bin Jassin" on the Arab observers' mission, who is in the same time the president of the ministerial committee in charge of the Syrian file, and from which this observers' mission was born! add to that, the mine planted by Hamad in the observers' mission, which is "Anwar Malik" who is related by affinity to the president of the so called "Syrian National Council" "Burhan Ghaliun", and Hamad decided to blow this mine yesterday by announcing the withdrawal of Anwar Malik from the mission, and attacking the mission's president and members on Aljazeera tribune, in reference to the strong desire of sheikh Hamad to shoot a death bullet in the head of the Arab League...!

 Going back to Feltman secret visit to Turkey, our sources in Ankara revealed the arrival of Jeffery Feltman to Ankara, just hours from Cairo... for many main goals:

1- Reassuring Turkey, that its role in the Syrian president plot is still a key role, and that Turkey will be a main player in the region after the overthrow of Assad.

2- Asking Turkey to benefit from the truce, and meet with the Iranian leadership, and invite her to discuss her nuclear file in Ankara, which was already done by Davutoglo during his visit to Tehran..

3- Sending a US message to Iran through the Turks, that include Washington willingness to compromise in the nuclear file, and the understandings on the strait of Hormuz, in exchange of Iran giving up on president Bashar Al Assad, from one side... on another side, the message convey a warning about moving the state of chaos and assassinations to inside Iran, in case Iran refuse the US offer, in a clear application of the "Stick and Carrot" policy very well practiced by the US.

4- release the state of congestion between Ankara and Paris over the "Law of Armenian Genocide" and directing the Turkish compass back to Damascus, and informing her with the approach of her return to the confrontation arena with Assad.

5- Preparing for the implementation of the previous steps that will coincide with Ban Ki Moon's visit to Lebanon, which we talked about in the report (The plan - The play to overthrow president Bashar Al Assad)..

6- More important was the reassembling of the Syrian opposition, and bring back together the so-called "Syrian National Council", when the differences among its members started eating it from within... In addition to temporary extending Ghaliun's presidency of the council, before putting him aside for ever, when they complete the preparation of transferring the position to "Loay Safi", a professor living in the United States and serves the position of a lecturer in George Washington university... the reason for this step is the great dissatisfaction from Ghaliun's latest statements, when he rejected the military intervention in Syria, and the increased resentment on him when he signed a document with Haitham Mannaa  to refrain from internationalizing the Syrian crisis.. We have learned that majority who claimed this shift are from the MBs.

"The conspiracy against Syria have been exposed", as president Assad said in his speech two days ago at university of Damascus ... he did not meant at all that it was not open since the beginning, but its features were not yet clear...

Today, the Feltman-Davutoglu- Hamad maneuvers will not be in any benefit, and will not be able revive their plot and oppositions from the state of clinical death... and as president Assad said yesterday addressing the Syrian people at the Umayyad square in Damascus: "We have confidence in the future, and will win without a doubt... they are in their final stage of the conspiracy, and we will make it as the end them and their plots".. Even if the victory is delayed, the triumph is no doubt coming...

The End...

Russia willing to prevent the overthrow of Assad.

Article by Al Kuds Al Arabi

If you want to know the possibilities of war in the Middle East , you must monitor the reactions of Moscow and Washington, and them moving their ships and aircraft carriers, specially now that Russia had awaken from her deep sleep, and started her powerful return to the region to protect her interests.

The Russian leadership that was gravely deceived in Libya and lost accordingly her strong conventional ally represented in colonel Moamar Gaddafi, when she agreed on the UNSC decision for a NATO intervention in Libya to protect civilians, then it turned into a military move to overthrow the regime... Here Russia started to realize the enormity of this loss, by fighting strongly the US attempts to overthrow the regimes in both Syria and Libya.

Sending a Russian ship loaded with weapons (on a high degree of risk) to Damascus, coinciding with the arrival of the Russian aircraft carrier and other battleships to Tartous port, where the orphan naval base exist in the warm waters, affirms this new Russian strategy.

The US administration has expressed concern upon receiving news from the Cypriot authorities that have seen the cargo in the ship, and couldn't prevent it from sailing toward Damascus, but her request for clarifications from her Russian counterpart will be fallen on deaf ears.

It is clear that Moscow stands by the Syrian regime in the face of a revolution of popular protest going on since nine month now, and demand the overthrow of the regime.. and by sending the aircraft carrier and the weapons and these dangerous materials, Russia is sending a strong and clear message to the Arab and US governments, that she is not abandoning her Syrian and Iranian allies, after she lost her allies in Libya (Gaddafi regime) and in Iraq (Saddam Hussein regime).

"Dmitry Rogizan" Russia's ambassador to the NATO, who's turn there had ended, said yesterday that any military intervention linked with Iran's nuclear program, is a credible threat to Russia national security.. and said that Iran is Russia's neighbor, and Russia cannot accept any invasion on her neighbor.
While "Nicolai Patrushev" president of the Security Council in the Kremlin, and a close friend to "Vladimir Putin" said that Israel is pushing USA toward war with Iran.

The seriousness of these strong and clear statements, comes at a time when the prospects of war against Iran are growing, and the Arab and internal pressures are escalating to overthrow the Assad regime..
We must keep in mind that "Rogizan" who consider war on Iran as a threat to the Russian national security, was appointed as deputy prime minister, by Putin, for defense issues, and will begin his duties immediately.

The time for the US exclusivity in the Middle East region and the wars to change regimes by sieges and military interventions is on its way to extinctions.

Washington changed the Libyan and Iraqi regimes because they granted oil and trade contracts to Russian, Indian and Chinese companies, so the Russian surrender to the US hegemony and exclusivity projects, will lead to the collapse of interests, and the Russian presence in the richest region in the world... which justify the use of VETO with China in the UNSC against imposing sanctions on Syria.

Moscow provided Syria with S-300 anti-aircraft missiles, in anticipation of any NATO intervention in her issues, and it is unlikely to back from providing the same missiles to Iran, because it is clear that Russia abandoned her previous positions in leaving the entire region to the US influence and wars.

About the coming war, when Hormuz strait is closed by Iran.

In the news: - Moscow sees that imposing new sanctions against Iran, and the possibility of directing a military strike at this country, represent an attempt to change the regime.. A in a statement to "Interfax" agency, "Gennady Getalov", Russia FM deputy, announced that the extra sanctions on Iran, and possible military strike on this country, the international community will consider it as an aim to change the regime in Tehran.

Intro and a reminder: - I previously wrote, in an article about the cold war, that tension reached its peak at the end of last year in the Gulf area, and i have pretended that the tension was partially over, even though others used to say that any mistake will ignite the entire area.. now the tension is back again, but in a different way, the tension returned after the EU decided to add more restrictions over the Iranian oil, and Iran warning to close Hormuz strait, so we have to talk about the implications and where we are going with it.

In the energy war: - At the end of last year, the Turkish energy minister gave Russia the document that made the installation of the "Southern Stream" very close to application, and during the meeting between "Alexei Miller", president of "Gazprom" with "Putin" and "Medvedev" each in a separate meeting, he urged Russia rulers on the necessity to start the implementation of this pipeline this year, not the coming year.. Thus, new ballances started to draw in the world, but in return, Washington is back to the talks about the "Mud gas" or "Shale gas", and thus talks about this gas will harm Washington before it harm Moscow , but it is unable during the next 10 years to change the gas market, and Russia might not need more than 10 years to achieve changes in her economic structure.. Thus was the talks about Ukraine decreasing its Russian gas imports to the half, but the most important in this year (2012) is Iran warning to close Hormuz strait, and the most controversial question this year: - Is the Iranian warning represent a response to the possible EU sanction on Tehran? or is it a Russian threat to Europe and Washington to convey a message to the west, that Russia is here.?

Moscow-Tehran, an unannounced alliance: - The Kazakh strategic expert "Adil Mukashev" says that "Washington  unknowingly, pushed to the creation of a Russian, Chinese and Iranian unannounced alliance".
Yes, the Iranian and Russian relations are Moscow's most complicated ones, but with Iran's alliance with Syria and the resistance, she managed to impose herself as a balance point, and amid the latest events, Iran got a lot of concessions from Russia, and despite all complications of the last few months, Moscow and Tehran produced a strategic agreement, that for the first time it took a security impression, it is not a coincident, that in the same time of declaring the Russian-Iranian agreement, Tehran dropped a "US drone" in a very complicated electronic war, that countries like France and UK could not achieve... Yes, Russia is bound to reach Hormuz strait, and Iran manage impose herself as regional player, to the point of starting enrich the Uranium to 20%, over the objections of Moscow who wants to export this fuel to Iran.

The US confusion: - Washington fully realized that the Iranian warning is not a joke, and has sent the aircraft carrier "Carl Vinson" fleet, noting that in coincidence with the Iranian warning, Washington sent the aircraft carrier "John Stennis" fleet, the same was done by UK, that sent the "Darring" destroyer to back up about six British ships, all that because the Americans fully realize that the Iranian warning is serious, and most importantly, that those battleships are to reassure the Arab moderation about their future, because Iran warning means that "Israel and the ruling families in the Gulf are unable ensure energy supplies", therefore, the kings and princes of the Gulf are only invaluable cards in the international policy, but luckily for them, Iran has an eye for Palestine, not them.

The US drowning: - These developments, coincide with Obama's request to raise the US debt ceiling one more time about 1200 Billion Dollars, to become the third US debt ceiling, and he knows very well, that before the end of this year will reach the second debt ceiling , knowing that the US deficit last year was 1300 Billion Dollars.. These developments come along with a deep European crisis, specially in the countries that import the Iranian oil (Spain, Italy and Greece) this crisis is also approaching France (the second European economy), as well as the restructuring of the US forces, and the US defense budget cut, and the US withdrawing combat brigades from Europe.

Is it possible to Tehran to close Hormuz strait?: - The more logical question will be if Washington is capable pay the costs of any war in the Arab Gulf, would she send her battleships after the Iranian warning? or she would have them sent before the Iranian warning? the war in the Arab Gulf comes with two sides, the reader realize that the first side is that 40% of the world oil pass through Hormuz strait, but the side no one talked about, is cutting the Qatari liquidized gas supplies, noting that Qatar is the world's largest liquidized gas exporter, which is competitive to the Russian and Algerian gas in Europe, the gas that London enjoys with preferable prices, therefore, when Ukraine say that she might reduce buying the Russian gas to 27 Billion M3, that means the Iranian warning is in the same time a message to the west and Ukraine that is negotiating with Russia to sell half of the Ukrainian gas network to Gazprom, therefore, even though the Iranian warning is an Iranian message, but in the same time it is a Russian strict message, and the surprises presented in the Iranian maneuvers, are Iranian surprises, but in case of any clash, Washington fully realize that Iran "GOT" surprises, perhaps left by the Russian and Chinese to turn over the region's balances.. Washington fully realize that she will not be able respond to any Iranian escalation in Hormuz strait, and realize that she excels with her navy, but her enemies now have weapons of Land-Sea and Sea-Sea , that put an end to this US superiority, starting from Hizbullah, to Syria, Algeria, Iran, Democratic Korea and the countries of Latin America, and all who say "NO" to Washington... Washington fully realize that her fleets are not the lady of the world oceans any more, this development comes after Russia deployed her most advanced air-space defense system in the world, and supplied the Russian army with "Russian Airborne Warning and Control System (AWACS)" and added the Russian submarine "Yury Dolgorukiy" to the Russian nuclear combat formations, after a successful mission in double- launching the "Bulava" missile, plus revealing planes of the (5 and 4++) generations, therefore the Russian escalation comes with an unprecedented military escalation on every level, and accompanied with a US sliding on every level.


Where things are headed?: - It is not likely (yet somewhat impossible) that Washington would gamble in pressuring on any axis that could lead to lose initiation, specially that now the escalation is not coming from the US, but the US is in a response mode, and Washington realize that any war in the region is a disaster to her and to Europe, no matter what the result will be, and it is impossible for her to accept the concept of war, but she has to submit to Iran conditions, as Iran is fully capable on closing Hormuz strait, and Washington is unable afford the costs of just trying to open Hormuz strait, and Washington would have to sit with the Russians and discuss many issues, and the EU will have to go back to the negotiation table with Iran...
Going back to the news, we find that Russia is not worried about Iran, but warn about the Russian response, and perhaps preparing a new phase produced by Russia, titled the "Precautions Strikes".


Note: - With the announcement of opening an office to Taliban in Doha (read my latest article), and coinciding with Taliban declaring its readiness to negotiate on stopping the fight, a movie clip was leaked about US soldiers urinating on Afghan dead bodies.. i have asked a friend who is a journalist in a decision-making country: Is this clip part of Wikileaks, that will flip the table over Washington's face?, he smiled with a satanic smile and said: the world is always changing..


The End...


Original Arabic article by Kefah Nssr - Jouhaina News.